World Economic Forum

“By 2025, 85 million jobs may be displaced by a shift in the division of labour between humans and machines, while 97 million new roles may emerge that are more adapted to the new division of labour between humans, machines and algorithms.”

The gross displacement and creation figures were survey extrapolations across 26 economies and have never been independently accounted for; global employment grew over 2020–2025, directionally consistent with the report's net-positive framing, but WEF issued fresh 2030 projections in 2025 rather than scoring this forecast.

“Employers anticipate 69 million new jobs will be created and 83 million eliminated over the next five years — a net decrease of 14 million jobs, or 2% of current employment — by 2027.”

Target year 2027 is still in the future; the forecast covers a 673-million-employee dataset of surveyed employers rather than the whole global labour force.

“Current trends could lead to a net employment impact of more than 5.1 million jobs lost to disruptive labour market changes over the period 2015–2020, with a total loss of 7.1 million jobs and a total gain of 2 million jobs across 15 major developed and emerging economies.”

No net technology-driven loss of ~5 million jobs materialised in the 15 economies studied: employment grew across them through 2019, and the WEF's own 2018 Future of Jobs Report reversed the forecast to project net job creation. The 2020 job losses that did occur were driven by the COVID-19 pandemic rather than the predicted labour-market disruption.