Submit a prediction
Heard a bold AI claim we are not tracking? Send it in. We track public, on-the-record predictions that name a concrete outcome and a timeframe, made by someone whose words carry weight: founders, executives, researchers, investors, economists, journalists, and policymakers.
Every submission goes through the same verification as everything else on the site. We check the quote against the source, confirm who said it and when, and only then publish it with the countdown clock running. Give us the exact quote and a direct source link and it sails through.
What gets published: claims that are falsifiable, meaning a concrete outcome plus an explicit or clearly implied deadline. Vibes, hopes, and unfalsifiable hot takes do not make the cut, no matter who said them.
What does not: paraphrases we cannot match to a source, claims without a named person or signing organization, and duplicates of predictions already on the Index.