AGI & SuperintelligenceIncorrect
“Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence. Shortly after, the human era will be ended.”
Mathematician & science-fiction author
Said Mar 1993Deadline Dec 31, 2023The Coming Technological Singularity (NASA VISION-21 Symposium, 1993)
2023 saw remarkable AI progress, but no superhuman general intelligence and no end of the human era. Frontier models remained clearly below expert human ability in most domains.