CEO of GitHub (Microsoft) until end of 2025
“Three years ago, Copilot was already creating 40% of code in those files where it was enabled, and I predicted that 80% of code would be written by AI in 2027. Three predictions of where we are going next: 1. 90% of code will be written by agents.”
Deadline is end of 2027; the 90%-by-agents half of the statement carries no date, so the entry resolves on the 80%-of-all-code-written-by-AI-in-2027 figure.
“I think by 2030, maybe even sooner, we will have more than one billion software developers on GitHub. Think about that: 10 percent of the world's population will not only control a computer but will also be able to create software just as if they were riding a bicycle.”
Resolvable against GitHub's own reported user counts at the end of 2030; GitHub had roughly 100 million developers when the prediction was made. Dohmke stepped down as GitHub CEO in 2025.