AI Prediction Index

Susan Li

CFO, Meta Platforms

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“Our current expectation is that capex dollar growth will be notably larger in 2026 than 2025. We also anticipate total expenses will grow at a significantly faster percentage rate in 2026 than 2025, with growth driven primarily by infrastructure costs.”

CFO, Meta Platforms

Said Oct 29, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2026Meta Q3 2025 earnings release and call, October 29, 2025

Benchmark: 2025 capex grew about $33 billion (from $39.23B to $72.22B); Meta's January 2026 guidance of $115-135 billion implies growth of $43-63 billion, so the claim looks on track but resolves only with full-year 2026 results.

“We anticipate 2026 capital expenditures, including principal payments on finance leases, to be in the range of $115-135 billion, with year-over-year growth driven by increased investment to support our Meta Superintelligence Labs efforts and core business.”

CFO, Meta Platforms

Resolves against Meta's reported full-year 2026 capex; the range is roughly double 2025's $72.22 billion.

“We anticipate 2026 capital expenditures, including principal payments on finance leases, to be in the range of $125-145 billion, increased from our prior range of $115-135 billion. This reflects our expectations for higher component pricing this year and, to a lesser extent, additional data center costs to support future year capacity.”

Chief Financial Officer, Meta Platforms

Raised from the $115-135 billion range guided in January 2026 and nearly double the $72.2 billion Meta spent in 2025; resolves against actual full-year 2026 capex reported with Q4 2026 results in early 2027.

“We currently expect 2025 capital expenditures, including principal payments on finance leases, to be in the range of $70-72 billion, increased from our prior outlook of $66-72 billion (and up from the $60-65 billion guided in January 2025).”

CFO, Meta Platforms

Said Oct 29, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025Meta Q3 2025 earnings release and call, October 29, 2025

Meta reported full-year 2025 capital expenditures, including principal payments on finance leases, of $72.22 billion — essentially on target, a rounding margin above the top of the $70-72 billion range.