State Council of China

“By 2027, we will take the lead in achieving broad and deep integration of AI with six key fields; the penetration rate of new-generation smart terminal devices and intelligent agents will exceed 70%, the core industries of the intelligent economy will be growing rapidly, and the role of AI in public governance will be significantly enhanced.”

No official methodology has been published for measuring the 'penetration rate' of intelligent terminals and agents, which will make resolution at end-2027 a judgement call.

“By 2030, China's AI theories, technologies and applications will achieve world-leading levels, making China the world's primary AI innovation center, with the scale of AI's core industry exceeding 1 trillion RMB and related industries exceeding 10 trillion RMB.”

The 1 trillion RMB core-industry figure was already reported reached in 2025, five years early; the harder 'world's primary AI innovation center' half remains open until 2030.

“By 2030, China's AI will be comprehensively empowering high-quality development, the adoption rate of new-generation smart terminal devices and intelligent agents will exceed 90%, and the intelligent economy will have become a major growth pole in China's economic development.”

“By 2020, China's overall AI technology and application will be in step with globally advanced levels, with the scale of AI's core industry exceeding 150 billion RMB and the scale of related industries exceeding 1 trillion RMB.”

The industrial target was met: China's core AI industry was put at about 325 billion RMB in 2020, roughly double the 150 billion RMB goal. The 'in step with globally advanced levels' half is contested — China led in applications and deployment but still trailed the US badly in frontier models and AI chips in 2020.

“By 2025, China will achieve major breakthroughs in basic AI theory, with some technologies and applications reaching world-leading levels and AI becoming the main driving force for China's industrial upgrading and economic transformation; the scale of AI's core industry will exceed 400 billion RMB and related industries will exceed 5 trillion RMB.”

MIIT reported at the December 2025 national industry conference that China's core AI industry exceeded 1 trillion RMB in 2025 — roughly 2.5x the 400 billion RMB target — and Chinese open-weight models such as DeepSeek's put some Chinese technologies at or near world-leading levels.