AI Prediction Index

Ministry of Industry and Information Technology

Chinese ministry for industry and IT; lead issuer of the Action Plan for High-Quality Development of Computing Power Infrastructure, jointly released with five other bodies including the Ministry of Education and the People's Bank of China

75%
success rate · #49 of 144
1correct1half right0missed2on the clockFull leaderboard
Energy & Data Centers
“By 2025, China's total data storage capacity will exceed 1,800 exabytes, with advanced storage accounting for more than 30% of capacity.”
Ministry of Industry and Information TechnologyPolicymaker

Chinese ministry for industry and IT; lead issuer of the Action Plan for High-Quality Development of Computing Power Infrastructure

Said Oct 8, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2025Action Plan for High-Quality Development of Computing Power Infrastructure, MIIT and five other departments, 8 Oct 2023 (CSET translation)

China's storage capacity was 1,200 EB at end-2023 and 1,680 EB as of June 2025 per the 2025 China Storage Development Report, so the 1,800 EB goal was within reach, but no official year-end 2025 figure has been published yet.

Capabilities
“By 2027, China's humanoid robot technology innovation capability will be significantly enhanced, with a safe and reliable industrial and supply chain system, an internationally competitive industrial ecosystem, and overall strength reaching world-advanced levels, with humanoid robots becoming an important new engine of economic growth.”
Ministry of Industry and Information TechnologyPolicymaker

Chinese ministry for industry and IT; issuer of the Guiding Opinion on the Innovation and Development of Humanoid Robots

Said Nov 2, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2027MIIT Guiding Opinion on the Innovation and Development of Humanoid Robots, 2 Nov 2023; cited in U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission issue brief on Humanoid Robots, Oct 2024
Energy & Data CentersCorrect
“By 2025, China's total computing power will exceed 300 EFLOPS, with intelligent (AI) computing accounting for 35% of the total.”
Ministry of Industry and Information TechnologyPolicymaker

Chinese ministry for industry and IT; lead issuer of the Action Plan for High-Quality Development of Computing Power Infrastructure, jointly released with five other bodies including the Ministry of Education and the People's Bank of China

Said Oct 8, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2025Action Plan for High-Quality Development of Computing Power Infrastructure, MIIT and five other departments, 8 Oct 2023 (gov.cn English report, 9 Oct 2023)

China's compute was 197 EFLOPS when the plan was issued; MIIT announced in January 2026 that intelligent computing power alone exceeded 1,590 EFLOPS across 42 ten-thousand-card clusters, so both the 300 EFLOPS total and the 35% intelligent-compute share were passed well before end-2025.

CapabilitiesPartially correct
“By 2025, China will have initially established an innovation system for humanoid robots, achieved breakthroughs in several key technologies, ensured the safe and effective supply of core components, and humanoid robot products will reach advanced international levels and realise mass production.”
Ministry of Industry and Information TechnologyPolicymaker

Chinese ministry for industry and IT; issuer of the Guiding Opinion on the Innovation and Development of Humanoid Robots

Said Nov 2, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2025MIIT Guiding Opinion on the Innovation and Development of Humanoid Robots, 2 Nov 2023; reported by South China Morning Post, 3 Nov 2023

2025 was widely billed in China as the first year of humanoid 'mass production' — Unitree, UBTech and AgiBot each shipped hundreds to low thousands of units and domestic actuator/reducer supply improved — but volumes remained small and deployments largely pilot-scale rather than true mass production.