Jobs & EconomyIncorrect
“If you go forward 24 months from now, or some amount of time — I can't exactly predict where it is — it's possible that most developers are not coding.”
Said Jun 2024Deadline Jun 30, 2026Internal AWS fireside chat (June 2024), recording obtained and reported by Business Insider, August 2024
The 24-month horizon ran out in June 2026 with most professional developers still writing and reviewing code, albeit heavily AI-assisted; Garman was pressed on the expired prediction in a June 2026 Platformer interview and defended continued hiring of junior engineers. (He hedged with 'it's possible,' so the miss is on the substance rather than a firm commitment.)