AI Prediction Index

Mary Barra

Chair and CEO, General Motors

@mtbarraWikipedia

0%
success rate · #117 of 144
0correct0half right1missed3on the clockFull leaderboard
“"Within five years, we expect to approach about $2 billion in total annual revenue from Super Cruise... This is how we are setting the stage for recurring high-margin revenue streams from subscriptions."”

Chair and CEO, General Motors

Said Jan 28, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2030GM Q4 2024 earnings call, January 28, 2025

Deadline is early 2030. GM's Super Cruise-equipped fleet roughly doubled in 2025, but reported Super Cruise revenue remains in the hundreds of millions, far short of $2 billion.

“There is a "giant growth opportunity" in Cruise: the unit could generate $50 billion a year in annual revenue by 2030.”

Chair and CEO, General Motors

Target year is 2030, but GM wound down Cruise's robotaxi development in December 2024 and folded the unit into GM, so the revenue target looks unreachable.

Self-DrivingIncorrect
“General Motors will sell personal autonomous vehicles by "the middle of the decade": "We are looking further down the road at opportunities to extend fully autonomous vehicle technology to personal transportation... we are working to be the fastest to market with a retail personal autonomous vehicle."”

Chair and CEO, General Motors

Said Jan 5, 2022Deadline Dec 31, 2025CES 2022 keynote, January 5, 2022 (reported by TechCrunch)

GM sold no personal autonomous vehicle by mid-decade. It stopped funding Cruise robotaxi development in December 2024 and in October 2025 said eyes-off driving would only reach market in 2028 on the Cadillac Escalade IQ.