AI Prediction Index

Marvin Minsky

Co-founder, MIT AI Lab

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“In from three to eight years we will have a machine with the general intelligence of an average human being.”

Co-founder, MIT AI Lab

Said Nov 1970Deadline Dec 31, 1978Life magazine interview (1970)

No machine approached human-level general intelligence by 1978. Funding cuts and the first AI winter followed within a few years.