AI Prediction Index

Lloyd Austin

U.S. Secretary of Defense

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success rate · #139 of 144
0correct0half right1missed0on the clockFull leaderboard
CapabilitiesIncorrect
“The Department is on track with the [Replicator] Initiative's fielding plan for next summer — thousands of all-domain, attritable autonomous systems fielded by August 2025.”

U.S. Secretary of Defense

Replicator 1 missed its summer 2025 fielding target: CRS reported DoD had fielded only 'hundreds' rather than the promised 'multiple thousands' of uncrewed systems by August 2025, though DoD said proven capabilities were transitioned to end users.