AI Prediction Index

Kristalina Georgieva

Managing Director, International Monetary Fund

50%
success rate · #88 of 144
0correct1half right0missed0on the clockFull leaderboard
Jobs & EconomyPartially correct
“Artificial intelligence is hitting the global labour market like a tsunami: AI is likely to impact 60% of jobs in advanced economies and 40% of jobs around the world in the next two years. We have very little time to get people ready for it, businesses ready for it.”

Managing Director, International Monetary Fund

AI exposure and adoption did spread broadly across white-collar occupations by mid-2026, but no 'tsunami'-scale labour-market impact on 60% of advanced-economy jobs materialised within the two-year window: the ECB reported in February 2026 that AI was raising productivity without a wave of redundancies, and the Fed judged AI's measured labour-market effects still limited.