“I have another long-term bet: I bet @codinghorror $10k that by January 1st, 2030, completely autonomous self-driving cars meeting SAE J3016 level 5 will be commercially available for passenger use in major cities.”
Consulting CTO at Meta's Oculus VR; co-founder of id Software
$10,000 bet against Jeff Atwood, payable to the winner's chosen 501(c)(3); 'major cities' is defined as any of the ten most populous US cities, and SAE Level 5 requires all driving tasks under all conditions with zero human attention.