“John Carmack and I have initiated a friendly bet of $10,000 to the 501(c)(3) charity of the winner's choice: By January 1st, 2030, completely autonomous self-driving cars meeting SAE J3016 level 5 will be commercially available for passenger use in major cities. I am betting against, and John is betting for... To be clear, I am betting against because I think everyone is underestimating how difficult fully autonomous driving really is. (By 'major cities' we mean any of the top 10 most populous cities in the United States of America.)”
Co-founder of Stack Overflow and Discourse
Per the agreed terms, a passenger must be able to enter the vehicle, select a destination and give zero attention for the journey, in one of the ten most populous US cities, before January 1, 2030.