AI Prediction Index

Jan Leike

Then Head of Alignment and co-lead of the Superalignment team at OpenAI (later Head of Alignment at Anthropic)

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Safety & Risk
“We want to set us an ambitious goal of solving alignment of superintelligence within the next four years. So, by mid-2027.”
Jan LeikeResearcher

Then Head of Alignment and co-lead of the Superalignment team at OpenAI (later Head of Alignment at Anthropic)

Said Jul 27, 2023Deadline Jul 5, 2027AXRP Episode 24 — 'Superalignment with Jan Leike', 27 July 2023 (restating OpenAI's 'Introducing Superalignment', 5 July 2023)

Deadline is mid-2027. Context: OpenAI disbanded the Superalignment team in May 2024 after Leike and Ilya Sutskever resigned, with Leike saying safety had taken a back seat; the 20%-compute commitment was reportedly not honored.