“By 2040, I believe, we will finally achieve the original goal of robotics and a thematic mainstay of science fiction: a freely moving machine with the intellectual capabilities of a human being.”
Said Dec 1999Deadline Dec 31, 2040Hans Moravec, 'Rise of the Robots,' Scientific American, December 1999, pp. 124-135
Deadline is 2040; Moravec's staged timeline (lizard-level mobile robots by 2010, human-scale robot intelligence by 2040) has so far run well behind schedule on the embodied-robotics side.