“AGI is most definitely not 2-3 years away.”
Deadline (three years from the post) falls in May 2027; no system has been broadly accepted as AGI as of early 2026.
IBM Fellow and Chief Scientist for Software Engineering, IBM Research; co-creator of UML
“AGI is most definitely not 2-3 years away.”
Deadline (three years from the post) falls in May 2027; no system has been broadly accepted as AGI as of early 2026.
“AGI will not happen in your lifetime. Or in the lifetime of your children. Or in the lifetime of your children's children.”
No explicit date, but the claim clearly implies AGI is at least three generations (roughly a century) away; in the same dialogue Booch put the timeline at 'a few generations' against Marcus's 'few decades.'