“We are highly uncertain about the timelines until powerful AI systems are developed, but crucially, we find it plausible that they will be developed by 2030 — focusing on Exceptional AGI, defined as an AI system that matches or exceeds the 99th percentile of skilled adults on a wide range of non-physical tasks.”
AGI Safety and Alignment team, paper 'An Approach to Technical AGI Safety and Security', led by Rohin Shah with Shane Legg and Anca Dragan among 30 co-authors
Said Apr 2, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2030arXiv:2504.01849, 'An Approach to Technical AGI Safety and Security', 2 April 2025
The paper's safety approach is explicitly designed around the possibility of Exceptional AGI arriving by 2030; the deadline is still in the future.