“But the real AI is coming. I think we've got about 5 years… I think it's going to lead to human extinction, probably within a few years of its development. At best, it will cause near-total unemployment.”
Said 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2030jessicata, '2025 in AI predictions', LessWrong, January 1, 2026 (compilation of dated 2025 predictions)
The '~5 years to real AI' element resolves around 2030; the extinction/near-total-unemployment consequence is dated a few years after that.