“The cost of training frontier AI models has grown by a factor of 2 to 3x per year for the past eight years, suggesting that the largest models will cost over a billion dollars by 2027.”
Said Jun 3, 2024Deadline Dec 31, 2027Epoch AI, 'How much does it cost to train frontier AI models?' (arXiv:2405.21015), June 3, 2024
Resolves on whether a single frontier training run's amortized hardware-plus-energy cost exceeds $1 billion by the end of 2027.