AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

Self-DrivingIncorrect
“"We're not done. There'll be more this year… Last year, we were operating tens of autonomous vehicles… Next year, there'll be thousands. And then it'll continue at least 10 times growth every year for the foreseeable future."”

Co-founder and CEO, Cruise

Said Aug 4, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2024Slate, August 4, 2023

Instead of 10x growth, Cruise's fleet went to zero: California suspended its permits in October 2023 after a pedestrian-dragging incident, Cruise grounded its robotaxis nationwide, Vogt resigned in November 2023, and GM ended funding of the robotaxi business in December 2024.