AGI & SuperintelligenceIncorrect
“Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence. Shortly after, the human era will be ended.”
Said Mar 1993Deadline Dec 31, 2023The Coming Technological Singularity (NASA VISION-21 Symposium, 1993)
2023 saw remarkable AI progress, but no superhuman general intelligence and no end of the human era. Frontier models remained clearly below expert human ability in most domains.