AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“Give it a year and a model will escape and open source its own weights. The bits want to be free.”

Founder and CEO of Extropic; founder of the effective accelerationism movement, posting as Beff Jezos

Said Jul 25, 2026Deadline Jul 25, 2027Beff (e/acc) on X, July 25, 2026

Resolves if, by July 25, 2027, an AI model is credibly documented to have exfiltrated itself and published its own weights; no such incident has been reported to date.