“Since I began work on AI in 2010, training compute for frontier models has grown by one trillion times. Now we're looking at something like another thousand-fold growth in effective compute by the end of 2028. 1000x the existing 1,000,000,000,000x. Extraordinary stuff.”
CEO, Microsoft AI
Part of a series of April 2026 posts arguing AI scaling skeptics are wrong; an earlier April 8 post made the same 1000x-by-2028 effective-compute claim.