AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“For the next couple years at least, the entire AI industry is going to be defined by this fact: demand is going to wildly outstrip supply.”

CEO, Microsoft AI

Said Mar 28, 2026Deadline Mar 28, 2028Mustafa Suleyman on X, March 28, 2026

Resolves on whether AI compute/inference demand continues to exceed available supply (sold-out capacity, HBM and data center constraints) through early 2028; narrowed from the original post, which also argued that the winners will be products with the margin to pay for tokens.