“It's plausible that by 2030 we'll bring an additional 200 gigawatts of compute online every year — akin to the peak energy use of the UK, France, Germany, and Italy put together.”
CEO of Microsoft AI
Said Apr 8, 2026Deadline Dec 31, 2030MIT Technology Review essay, 'Mustafa Suleyman: AI development won't hit a wall anytime soon—here's why', April 8, 2026
Resolves at the end of 2030 on whether annual additions of AI compute capacity approach 200 GW per year.