AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“We all predict a time in the next five years, maybe in the next 10 years, where these capabilities do start to emerge and systems like this could set their own goals, or they could improve their own code, or they could act autonomously.”

CEO, Microsoft AI

Target date set to the near end of his stated 'five years — maybe 10 years' range; the outer bound would be 2035.