“Achieving human-level performance at most tasks — I wouldn't say all knowledge tasks — feels quite likely in the next five years. It's a fairly grounded prediction if you think about it.”

Mustafa SuleymanCEO

CEO, Microsoft AI

Resolves by end-2030 on whether AI systems reach human-level performance across most (not all) knowledge tasks; distinct from Suleyman's separate, more aggressive 12-18 month white-collar automation claim.