“The right modern Turing test would be to evaluate whether an AI was capable of acting like an entrepreneur, a mini project manager, an inventor of a new product — to go and market it, manufacture it, sell it and so on to make a profit. I'm pretty sure that within the next five years, certainly before the end of the decade, we are going to have not just those capabilities, but those capabilities widely available for very cheap, potentially even in open source.”

Mustafa SuleymanCEO

Co-founder of Google DeepMind; CEO of Inflection AI, speaking on the 'Hard Power of AI' panel at Davos

Related to but distinct from his 2023 'modern Turing test / make $1 million' formulation: this version was stated at Davos with a five-year / end-of-decade horizon rather than 'as little as two years away.'