AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“By 2030, China's AI theories, technologies and applications will achieve world-leading levels, making China the world's primary AI innovation center, with the scale of AI's core industry exceeding 1 trillion RMB and related industries exceeding 10 trillion RMB.”

China's cabinet; issuer of the New Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Plan (Guofa [2017] No. 35)

The 1 trillion RMB core-industry figure was already reported reached in 2025, five years early; the harder 'world's primary AI innovation center' half remains open until 2030.