AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

CapabilitiesIncorrect
“That within ten years a digital computer will discover and prove an important new mathematical theorem.”

Professor at Carnegie Institute of Technology and RAND Corporation; co-creator of the Logic Theorist

No computer discovered and proved an important new theorem in the ten-year window; contemporaries such as Hubert Dreyfus noted in the mid-1960s that the field was still far from it. The landmark computer-assisted results came much later — the four colour theorem in 1976 and the Robbins conjecture in 1996.