Jobs & EconomyIncorrect
“We believe as an industry that in the next one year the vast majority of programmers will be replaced by AI programmers.”
Former CEO and Chairman of Google; Chairman of the Special Competitive Studies Project
Said Apr 10, 2025Deadline Apr 10, 2026AI+Biotechnology Summit (Special Competitive Studies Project), Washington, D.C., 10 April 2025
The one-year deadline passed in April 2026 without anything resembling mass replacement of programmers. AI coding agents were adopted broadly and write a large and growing share of code, but human software developers remained employed in the millions and no 'vast majority' displacement occurred.