AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

CapabilitiesPartially correct
“We also believe that within one year you will have graduate-level mathematicians that are at the tippy top of graduate math programs.”

Former CEO and Chairman of Google; Chairman of the Special Competitive Studies Project

AI math ability advanced dramatically within the window — gold-medal-level International Mathematical Olympiad performance in July 2025 and rapid gains on research-level math benchmarks and formal proof work — but by April 2026 systems had not generally matched top graduate students across open-ended research mathematics, so the claim is only partly borne out.