AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“The computers are now doing self-improvement... they don't have to listen to us anymore. We call that superintelligence or ASI — computers that are smarter than the sum of humans. The San Francisco consensus is this occurs within six years.”

Former CEO and Chairman of Google; Chairman of the Special Competitive Studies Project

Six years from April 2025 puts the deadline at April 2031; contemporaneous reporting rendered this as artificial superintelligence 'by 2031.'