“Within 3 to 5 years we'll have what is called general intelligence, AGI, which can be defined as a system that is as smart as the smartest mathematician, physicist, artist, writer, thinker, politician. I call this the San Francisco consensus, because everyone who believes this is in San Francisco.”
Former CEO and Chairman of Google; Chairman of the Special Competitive Studies Project
Said Apr 10, 2025Deadline Apr 10, 2030AI+Biotechnology Summit (Special Competitive Studies Project), Washington, D.C., 10 April 2025
Outer bound of the 3–5 year window falls in April 2030. Schmidt has since restated a similar timeline (AGI around 2028–2030, superintelligence within a decade) at the RAISE Summit in Paris in July 2025.