AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

CapabilitiesPartially correct
“Say to your LLM the following: Make me a copy of TikTok, steal all the users, steal all the music, put my preferences in it, produce this program in the next 30 seconds, release it and in one hour, if it's not viral, do something different along the same lines. That's the command... Imagine that each and every human on the planet has their own programmer that actually does what they want... That's all within the next year or two.”

Former CEO and Executive Chairman of Google; chair of the Special Competitive Studies Project

By 2026 'vibe coding' platforms (Lovable, Base44, Replit Agent, Claude Code, Codex) do let ordinary users generate working apps — including social-video clones — from a prompt in minutes, so the 'everyone has their own programmer' part broadly arrived. But no system executes the described loop: no 30-second production-grade TikTok replica, no ingesting of a rival's users and music catalog, and no autonomous relaunch-until-viral iteration.