“I believe that very soon — probably in 2026 or 2027, but possibly as soon as this year — one or more A.I. companies will claim they've created an artificial general intelligence, or A.G.I., which is usually defined as something like 'a general-purpose A.I. system that can do almost all cognitive tasks a human can do.'”
Technology columnist, The New York Times; co-host of the Hard Fork podcast
Said Mar 14, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2027Kevin Roose, 'Powerful A.I. Is Coming. We're Not Ready.', The New York Times, March 14, 2025
Resolves if a major AI company explicitly claims to have built AGI by the end of 2027; no leading lab has made such an unqualified claim so far.