AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“I think that 2024 may be the year that we start to see workers take real action — white-collar workers in fields like law, finance, medicine, media and tech starting to unionize to counteract job losses caused by AI and automation.”

Technology columnist, The New York Times; co-host of the Hard Fork podcast

Roose's own operationalized market — requiring significant new AI/automation-driven union activity in at least three of law, finance, medicine, media and tech by December 31, 2024 — resolved NO. No broad white-collar unionization wave against AI job losses materialized in 2024.