AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“Our investments in leading-edge logic chip manufacturing will put this country on track to produce roughly 20% of the world's leading-edge logic chips by the end of the decade. That's a big deal. Why is that a big deal? Because folks, today we're at zero.”

U.S. Secretary of Commerce

Resolves against world leading-edge logic output share in 2030; the U.S. produced none at the time of the claim, with TSMC Arizona and Intel 18A ramps the main contributors.