AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“We expect to have fully autonomous vehicles in probably somewhere between a quarter and half of the United States by the end of the year, pending regulatory approval... even if it is city-by-city, we expect to be in dozens of major cities by the end of the year.”

CEO, Tesla

Said Jan 28, 2026Deadline Dec 31, 2026Tesla Q4 2025 earnings call, January 28, 2026

As of mid-2026 Tesla had expanded robotaxi service to a handful of additional metros (Dallas, Houston, Phoenix, Miami, Orlando, Tampa, Las Vegas) with fleets still reported in the dozens per city, well short of the year-end target.