AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

CapabilitiesIncorrect
“Start of production [for Optimus at Fremont] is, we're assuming, somewhere around the late July, August time frame — though initial output will be 'quite slow' and the production rate this year is 'literally impossible to predict.'”

CEO of Tesla

Said Apr 22, 2026Deadline Aug 31, 2026Tesla Q1 2026 earnings call, April 22, 2026 (Electrek)

The late-July/August window was missed: Tesla's Q2 2026 update (July 22) said Fremont construction had begun with production only 'anticipated later this year,' Musk said on the call that Tesla 'will soon start production' with Optimus, and August 2026 reporting described the start as pushed to 'later this year.'