AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

Self-DrivingIncorrect
“Tesla will launch robotaxi service in Austin in June, and robotaxis will be in many other cities in the U.S. by the end of this year.”

CEO of Tesla

Said Apr 22, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025Tesla Q1 2025 earnings call, April 22, 2025

Robotaxi did launch in Austin in June 2025, but by the end of the year the service ran only in Austin and the San Francisco Bay Area — the latter with a chaperone in the car — instead of the many cities Musk promised. Tesla reached roughly seven U.S. metro areas only in mid-2026.