AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

CapabilitiesIncorrect
“We expect to have several thousand Optimus robots produced at Tesla and doing useful things by the end of this year.”

CEO of Tesla

Said Jan 29, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025Tesla Q4 2024 earnings call, January 29, 2025, reported by Fortune

Tesla did not produce several thousand working Optimus robots in 2025; output stalled on hardware redesigns and the robots that existed were used for demonstrations and limited pilot tasks, with volume production of the V3 design deferred to 2026.