AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

Self-DrivingIncorrect
“I think we'll probably have autonomous ride-hailing in probably half the population of the US by the end of the year. That's at least our goal, subject to regulatory approvals.”

CEO, Tesla

At the end of 2025 Tesla's robotaxi service ran only in Austin and the Bay Area, almost entirely with human safety monitors on board, covering a negligible share of the US population; commentators put actual driverless coverage at roughly 0% versus the promised 50%.