AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

Self-DrivingIncorrect
“There will be Tesla Robotaxis operating in Austin with no one in them, not even anyone in the passenger seat, in about three weeks. I think it's pretty much a solved problem, we're just going through validation right now.”

CEO, Tesla

Said Dec 9, 2025Deadline Dec 30, 2025Electrek, December 9, 2025

Three weeks later Austin robotaxi rides still arrived with a safety monitor up front; Tesla only began offering public rides with no one in the vehicle on January 22, 2026, about six weeks after the promise and after at least four similar missed projections.