AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

Self-DrivingIncorrect
“We're scaling up the number of cars — probably we'll have a thousand cars or more in the Bay Area by the end of this year, probably 500 or more in the greater Austin area.”

CEO, Tesla

Said Oct 31, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025All-In Podcast interview with Elon Musk, aired October 31, 2025

By late November Musk had already cut the Austin target to roughly 60 vehicles, and independent tracking at year-end found only about 30-42 robotaxis operating in Austin; the Bay Area fleet also fell far short of 1,000 and still used safety drivers.