AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

Self-DrivingIncorrect
“We do expect actually to start fully autonomous, unsupervised FSD in Texas and California next year. And obviously that's with the Model 3 and Model Y.”

CEO of Tesla

Said Oct 10, 2024Deadline Dec 31, 2025Tesla 'We, Robot' robotaxi unveiling, October 10, 2024

Tesla's Austin robotaxi service launched in June 2025 with in-car safety monitors, not unsupervised operation, and California rides ran with a safety driver under state permitting rules. No customer Model 3 or Model Y received unsupervised FSD in 2025; in April 2026 Musk pushed consumer unsupervised FSD to Q4 2026 at the earliest.