AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“Even with only roughly 10, 15% of the electrodes working with Noland, our first patient, we were able to achieve twice the world record [in bits per second]. So I think we'll start vastly exceeding the world record by orders of magnitude in the years to come — start getting to, I don't know, 100 bits per second, a thousand. Maybe five years from now, we might be at a megabit, faster than any human could possibly communicate by typing or speaking.”

Founder of Neuralink; CEO of Tesla, SpaceX and xAI

Hedged ('maybe... might'), but numerically concrete: a ~1,000,000 bits-per-second brain-computer interface by August 2029, versus the single-digit-to-low-tens bps demonstrated at the time of the claim.