AGI & SuperintelligenceIncorrect
“AI will probably be smarter than any single human next year.”
Said Mar 13, 2024Deadline Dec 31, 2025Elon Musk post on X, March 13, 2024 (replying to a Ray Kurzweil clip from The Joe Rogan Experience)
No AI system was smarter than the smartest single human by the end of 2025; frontier models remained below top human experts across many domains. Musk himself walked the timeline back in January 2025, shifting to vaguer language about what AI 'will do'.