AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

CapabilitiesIncorrect
“I think we have a shot at being in production for version 1 of Optimus hopefully next year [2023]... It will be able to do basically anything humans don't want to do.”

CEO of Tesla

Optimus was nowhere near production in 2023 — Tesla only demoed prototypes (Gen 1/Gen 2). Tesla was still installing its first Optimus production lines at Fremont in 2026, roughly three years after the promised production start.